The stock market experienced a robust rally last week, with the broader indices reaching fresh all-time highs. In a volatile week ending on September 20, 2024, the BSE Sensex surged by 1,653.37 points, a 1.99% gain, closing at 84,544.31. Similarly, the Nifty50 index added 434.5 points or 1.71%, ending at 25,791. On September 20, both indices reached new highs with the Sensex peaking at 84,694.46 and Nifty at 25,849.25.
Performance of Broader Indices
While the broader indices reached new heights, they slightly underperformed compared to the main indices. The BSE Mid and Smallcap indices ended the week relatively flat, while the Largecap index rose by 1.5%. Nevertheless, several smallcap stocks performed impressively, with 30 stocks gaining between 10-50%. Notable performers included Neogen Chemicals, Reliance Infrastructure, and Waaree Renewable Technologies.
Sectoral Movement: Realty and Bank Sectors Shine
Among sectors, the Nifty Realty index surged by 4.5%, leading the pack. The Nifty Bank index also showed significant strength, rising 3.5%, followed by the Nifty Auto index, which climbed 2%. On the other hand, the Nifty Information Technology index faced a decline of nearly 3%, weighed down by layoffs and a weaker US dollar. Similarly, the Nifty Media and Nifty Pharma indices fell by 2.6% and 2%, respectively.
Foreign Investments Fuel Rally
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net buyers, infusing Rs 11,517.92 crore into the market. In contrast, domestic institutional investors (DIIs) sold equities worth Rs 633.67 crore, slightly balancing the foreign inflow. Analysts credit the market's positive momentum to the US Federal Reserve's unexpected 50 basis points rate cut, which eased fears of an economic slowdown. The lower-than-expected jobless claims from the US added to the optimism, suggesting a potential soft landing for the US economy as the rate-cut cycle begins.
Future Outlook: Nifty Targets 26,000
According to Hrishikesh Yedve, AVP Technical and Derivatives Research at Asit C. Mehta Investment Intermediaries Ltd., the bullish momentum is expected to continue, with the Nifty likely to test the 25,900-26,000 range. Tejas Shah from JM Financial & BlinkX shares a similar outlook, indicating that Nifty's closing above the 25,500-550 resistance zone sets the stage for an upward move towards the psychological barrier of 26,000.
Amol Athawale, VP-Technical Research at Kotak Securities, adds that as long as the market trades above 25,500, the upward breakout trend will continue. He notes that if Nifty dips below this level, traders may opt to exit their long positions.
In conclusion, the Indian stock market remains in bullish territory, with several smallcap stocks delivering outstanding returns. The upcoming week will test whether Nifty can break through the 26,000 mark or face resistance.
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